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Certification Course

Revenue Forecasting and Analysis

The course, presented by the IMF Fiscal Affairs Department, provides hands-on learning to help students build foundational knowledge on the various quantitative models and techniques that can be used to forecast revenues and conduct tax policy analysis, while also exploring related issues such as the characteristics of a sound institutional framework and the key principles of tax policymaking.

In this course, you will :

Examine basic principles and trends in tax revenue analysis.
Describe the main characteristics of an effective institutional framework for revenue forecasting.
Recognize potential data issues and identify data requirements.
Create revenue forecasts using various methods.
Recognize the advantages and disadvantages of various forecasting methods.
Using input-output tables and micro-simulation models, quantify the revenue impact of tax policy changes.